SharpEdge

Methodology

CLV (Closing Line Value) measures how our signal odds compare to the closing line at game start. Positive CLV means we identified a better price than the market settled on. Consistently beating the closing line is the strongest predictor of long-term profitability in sports betting.

How predictions work: The SharpEdge model ingests odds from 19+ sportsbooks via TheRundown and The Odds API, devigorishes each book's lines, and computes a fair market price using sharp-weighted consensus. A prediction is generated when the model identifies a line with 70%+ confidence, priced by 3+ books including at least one sharp book (Pinnacle or Circa).

What the numbers mean: Mean CLV tells you the average edge we identified before the market closed. Positive rate shows how often we beat the closing line. A positive rate above 50% over hundreds of markets is statistically significant. Performance is broken down by sport and market type so you can see where the model is strongest.

All data is generated automatically. No manual curation, no cherry-picking. Every signal is tracked, win or lose.